La Equidad vs Fortaleza analysis

La Equidad Fortaleza
80 ELO 80
-19.7% Tilt -9.9%
398º General ELO ranking 407º
11º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
40.1%
La Equidad
28.7%
Draw
31.2%
Fortaleza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
La Equidad
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
31.2%
Win probability
Fortaleza
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
La Equidad
-10%
+14%
Fortaleza

Points and table prediction

La Equidad
Their league position
Fortaleza
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
13º
24
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Deportes Tolima
38
38
100%
Atlético Bucaramanga
38
38
100%
Santa Fe
34
34
100%
Deportivo Pereira
34
34
100%
La Equidad
33
33
100%
Millonarios
31
31
100%
Junior
29
29
100%
Once Caldas
29
29
0%
Independiente Medellín
29
29
0%
América de Cali
10º
25
25
10º
100%
Águilas Doradas
11º
25
25
11º
100%
At. Nacional
12º
24
24
12º
0%
Fortaleza
13º
24
24
13º
0%
Jaguares FC
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Deportivo Cali
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Deportivo Pasto
16º
19
19
16º
100%
Boyacá Chicó
17º
18
18
17º
100%
Envigado
18º
16
16
18º
0%
Alianza FC
19º
16
16
19º
0%
Patriotas Boyacá
20º
15
15
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
La Equidad
Fortaleza
Next round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

La Equidad
Fortaleza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

La Equidad
La Equidad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2024
ALI
Alianza FC
0 - 3
La Equidad
EQU
42%
26%
31%
80 77 3 0
08 Apr. 2024
EQU
La Equidad
4 - 0
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
45%
28%
27%
80 78 2 0
30 Mar. 2024
JUN
Junior
1 - 0
La Equidad
EQU
45%
27%
29%
80 80 0 0
23 Mar. 2024
EQU
La Equidad
1 - 2
Independiente Medellín
IND
35%
28%
38%
80 80 0 0
16 Mar. 2024
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
4 - 0
La Equidad
EQU
41%
27%
31%
80 79 1 0

Matches

Fortaleza
Fortaleza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
FOR
Fortaleza
2 - 0
Once Caldas
ONC
48%
26%
26%
80 80 0 0
10 Apr. 2024
FOR
Fortaleza
2 - 1
Once Caldas
ONC
47%
26%
28%
79 81 2 +1
06 Apr. 2024
NAC
At. Nacional
1 - 2
Fortaleza
FOR
53%
25%
22%
79 80 1 0
31 Mar. 2024
FOR
Fortaleza
1 - 2
Millonarios
MIL
45%
27%
29%
79 80 1 0
24 Mar. 2024
JAG
Jaguares FC
0 - 1
Fortaleza
FOR
33%
29%
37%
78 74 4 +1
X