Apertura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
La Equidad vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
EQU
4 - 1
SFE
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 0
EQU
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
EQU
0 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 2
EQU
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 0
PER
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
ONC
2 - 1
ENV
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 3
ENV
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
ENV
0 - 0
TOL
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
ENV
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |