La Equidad vs Centauros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
BOG
2 - 1
EQU
22%
26%
53%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
EQU
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2011 |
EQU
2 - 1
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
EQU
2 - 1
MIL
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 2
EQU
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Centauros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 1
MIL
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 1
CEN
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 2
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CEN
5 - 3
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PAS
1 - 0
CEN
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |