La Equidad vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
EQU
2 - 0
SFE
31%
30%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 0
EQU
45%
28%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
TOL
4 - 1
EQU
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
EQU
2 - 0
LEO
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
EQU
0 - 0
MIL
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
NAC
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
21%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
ONC
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -3 |