La Equidad vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
EQU
1 - 1
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
EQU
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EQU
1 - 0
ONC
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
EQU
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 0
EQU
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAR
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
PAS
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ONC
0 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
PAS
0 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 0
NAC
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |