La Equidad vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
27.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
EQU
2 - 2
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 1
EQU
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
EQU
2 - 0
BOG
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
EQU
0 - 2
SFE
23%
30%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 0
EQU
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
ALI
32%
26%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 1
COR
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
BUC
0 - 0
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 1
ALI
49%
28%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 2
JUN
24%
29%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |