La Equidad vs Academia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
EQU
0 - 1
MIL
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
EQU
45%
28%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
EQU
0 - 0
AGU
46%
27%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
EQU
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 1
TOL
30%
27%
44%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 0
ACA
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 0
BUC
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
ACA
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CEN
4 - 2
ACA
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 0
CEN
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |