Europa League 1/32
Global 0-4
EPA Larnaca vs Victoria Bucuresti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EPA Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
ARA
1 - 0
EPA
90%
8%
3%
|
7 | 69 | 62 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1972 |
EPA
0 - 1
ARA
14%
22%
65%
|
7 | 68 | 61 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1970 |
MON
10 - 0
EPA
91%
6%
3%
|
7 | 86 | 79 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
EPA
0 - 6
MON
14%
18%
68%
|
8 | 86 | 78 | -1 |
Matches
Victoria Bucuresti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
VIC
0 - 1
FCU
53%
22%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
FCM
0 - 1
VIC
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
VIC
2 - 1
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
TIM
1 - 1
VIC
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1987 |
2 - 1
VIC
76%
15%
10%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |