CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-2
Enyimba vs Real Bamako analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Enyimba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 1
ENY
14%
24%
62%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ENY
3 - 1
ANG
82%
13%
4%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ENY
1 - 0
SHA
44%
29%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
SUN
2 - 0
ENY
57%
26%
17%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ENY
1 - 0
ABS
52%
27%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
BAK
1 - 1
ASR
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ASR
1 - 1
FAR
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FAR
2 - 2
ASR
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
DJO
2 - 0
ASR
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ASR
2 - 3
ONZ
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |