Copa Colombia 1/16
Global 3-2
Envigado vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
ENV
0 - 1
IND
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 3
ENV
39%
26%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
ENV
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
ENV
0 - 2
TOL
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 1
ENV
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
ORS
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAR
31%
29%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
REA
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
HUI
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 0
CAR
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |