Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 2-3
Envigado vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
ENV
1 - 1
PAS
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
SFE
2 - 0
ENV
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 0
PAT
44%
28%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
IND
0 - 1
ENV
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ENV
1 - 0
HUI
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
EQU
1 - 1
PAT
36%
30%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
PAT
4 - 1
COR
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 0
PAT
44%
28%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
BUC
0 - 0
PAT
35%
30%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 0
MIL
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |