Envigado vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BUC
2 - 3
ENV
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SFE
3 - 0
ENV
48%
28%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
ENV
2 - 4
IND
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ENV
3 - 3
AGU
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ONC
1 - 1
IND
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 2
ONC
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ONC
0 - 1
SFE
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
IND
1 - 0
ONC
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PAS
1 - 0
ONC
42%
28%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |