Envigado vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
ENV
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
IND
2 - 1
ENV
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 0
CUC
43%
29%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 1
ENV
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 0
TOL
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
ONC
3 - 0
SFE
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
ONC
3 - 0
LEO
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
ONC
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
ONC
3 - 0
CAR
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
ONC
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |