Envigado vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
AME
4 - 0
ENV
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 0
ENV
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CUC
1 - 0
ENV
48%
28%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 0
EQU
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PER
4 - 2
ENV
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
HUI
0 - 0
ONC
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 2
ONC
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
ONC
0 - 0
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ONC
0 - 0
PER
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 0
CUC
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |