Envigado vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
ENV
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 0
QUI
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
JUN
4 - 1
ENV
71%
18%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 3
AME
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 1
CUC
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 1
SFE
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 2
MIL
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 0
CAR
58%
25%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
CAL
0 - 1
MIL
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SFE
4 - 2
MIL
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |