Envigado vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CHI
4 - 2
ENV
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
ENV
2 - 2
CAR
54%
27%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 2
ENV
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
ENV
2 - 2
CUC
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
JUN
3 - 0
ENV
69%
18%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 2
AGU
52%
27%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
PAT
1 - 2
AGU
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 1
REA
62%
24%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 1
AFC
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
SFC
1 - 1
AGU
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |