Envigado vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
AME
0 - 0
ENV
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ENV
1 - 0
BUC
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ENV
2 - 2
JUN
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ONC
3 - 1
ENV
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
CAL
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
SFE
0 - 0
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
CHI
81%
14%
6%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
JAG
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |