Envigado vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ENV
3 - 3
JUN
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ENV
2 - 1
IND
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
3 - 0
ENV
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ENV
1 - 1
EQU
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
IND
1 - 2
PER
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
PER
0 - 2
IND
29%
26%
46%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ENV
2 - 1
IND
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
BUC
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
SFE
3 - 0
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |