Envigado vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
48.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CAL
4 - 2
ENV
61%
22%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
PAT
3 - 1
ENV
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
ENV
3 - 2
TFC
54%
27%
19%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
ENV
1 - 1
AGU
35%
29%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
COR
1 - 3
ENV
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
PAS
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
MIL
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
RAC
3 - 1
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
IND
3 - 1
CAL
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
CAL
4 - 1
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |