Envigado vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
4 - 2
ENV
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ENV
1 - 1
HUI
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 1
ENV
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SFE
1 - 1
ENV
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ENV
2 - 0
PAT
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
IND
1 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
IND
2 - 1
ONC
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
IND
3 - 0
SFC
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
EQU
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |