Envigado vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CUC
2 - 2
ENV
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
ENV
1 - 2
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
ENV
53%
23%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
ENV
2 - 0
COR
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
AME
2 - 2
ENV
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 0
IND
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
IND
0 - 0
RAC
61%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
IND
1 - 1
COR
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
IND
1 - 1
JUN
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |