Envigado vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
HUI
3 - 2
ENV
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 1
ENV
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ENV
2 - 3
SFE
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
ENV
0 - 2
AGU
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CHI
4 - 2
ENV
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 1
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
IND
1 - 0
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
ONC
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 3
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |