Envigado vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
19.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
ENV
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ONC
0 - 1
ENV
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ENV
2 - 3
AGU
41%
30%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ENV
1 - 0
ONC
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 1
FOR
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
JUN
20%
28%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
3 - 2
FOR
63%
23%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
EQU
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
PAT
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |