Envigado vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
ENV
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ENV
1 - 4
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 2
ENV
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
ENV
3 - 1
CAL
31%
29%
39%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
IND
3 - 2
ENV
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
JUN
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 0
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
SFE
46%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
DEF
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |