Envigado vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ENV
3 - 1
SFE
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
ENV
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
4 - 1
ENV
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ENV
0 - 0
EQU
36%
27%
36%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 2
AGU
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 1
JUN
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SFE
0 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
ONC
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 1
AME
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 1
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |