Envigado vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 3
ONC
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
ENV
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
IND
2 - 3
ENV
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
ENV
0 - 1
AGU
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 1
EQU
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
REA
1 - 1
NAC
17%
22%
61%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
HUI
0 - 1
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 2
HUI
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
ENV
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |