Envigado vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CUC
1 - 0
ENV
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 4
MIL
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
ENV
48%
26%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 0
QUI
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
JUN
4 - 1
ENV
71%
18%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
SFE
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
SFE
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
CAR
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 2
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |