Envigado vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
PAS
3 - 0
ENV
32%
31%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 1
ONC
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
ENV
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
IND
2 - 1
ENV
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 0
CUC
43%
29%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
PER
58%
24%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
IND
1 - 2
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
ENV
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
AGU
0 - 0
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SFE
1 - 1
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |