Ardziv vs Aigues Mortes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
13º
13º
19
6º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 56 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 44 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 43 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 24 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 71% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
92.5% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
EUA
1 - 5
RSV
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BEA
4 - 1
EUA
60%
21%
20%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
EUA
2 - 1
SFC
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
EUA
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EUA
1 - 3
MAR
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aigues Mortes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 0
SCR
37%
22%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RSV
3 - 1
SAM
75%
14%
11%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
VIL
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 0
SAM
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 6
OLY
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |