Ardziv vs Olympique Marseille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
51.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
9º
10º
37
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RSV
2 - 0
EUA
61%
19%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
STC
5 - 0
EUA
14%
18%
69%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | -3 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
EUA
2 - 1
ASC
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
COR
3 - 0
EUA
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
EUA
3 - 1
AGD
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
STC
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 2
MAR
17%
19%
64%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
COR
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AGD
2 - 0
MAR
38%
24%
39%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
ESF
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |