Ardziv vs Olympique Marseille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
59.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
14º
12º
31
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SCR
3 - 0
EUA
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
EUA
0 - 2
LUC
19%
21%
61%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
EUA
4 - 1
LUC
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +4 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
USM
1 - 1
EUA
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
EUA
1 - 1
AJA
17%
19%
65%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
GAZ
27%
26%
48%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
MAR
32%
22%
46%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
RVA
3 - 1
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
FCM
15%
23%
62%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MON
2 - 4
MAR
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |