Ardziv vs Marignane Gignac II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
14º
12º
16
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
EUA
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 0
SCR
25%
21%
55%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
EUA
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GAZ
2 - 3
EUA
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
EUA
2 - 2
BAL
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 1
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
NIC
21%
20%
60%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 0
MAR
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
RSV
21%
20%
60%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
MAR
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |