Ardziv vs Gallia Lucciana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
41.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
9º
10º
34
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 3
EUA
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
EUA
3 - 1
CAS
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
EUA
56%
21%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 1
IST
41%
23%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 1
EUA
68%
16%
16%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 3
EUA
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 3
BAL
60%
19%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IST
1 - 1
LUC
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 0
NIC
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 0
LUC
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |