Ardziv vs Gallia Lucciana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
60.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
14º
12º
33
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
EUA
4 - 1
LUC
16%
19%
65%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
USM
1 - 1
EUA
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
EUA
1 - 1
AJA
17%
19%
65%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
EUA
92%
6%
2%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
EUA
1 - 0
AUB
8%
15%
77%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | +4 |
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
IST
2 - 1
LUC
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
LUC
0 - 1
NIC
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LUC
3 - 2
GAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
USM
0 - 4
LUC
8%
15%
77%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LUC
0 - 1
CBL
73%
15%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |