Ardziv vs Gallia Lucciana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
64.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
USM
1 - 1
EUA
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
EUA
1 - 1
AJA
17%
19%
65%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
EUA
92%
6%
2%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
EUA
1 - 0
AUB
8%
15%
77%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | +4 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 0
EUA
85%
11%
5%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LUC
2 - 0
IST
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CBL
2 - 0
LUC
53%
21%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LUC
5 - 0
GEM
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ILE
1 - 4
LUC
16%
19%
65%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
USM
3 - 2
LUC
24%
21%
55%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |