Ardziv vs ES Fosséenne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+435%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
9º
10º
35
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
EUA
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 1
BEA
31%
22%
46%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SCR
0 - 1
EUA
42%
22%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 1
LUC
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 3
EUA
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
ES Fosséenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ESF
2 - 1
STC
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 0
ESF
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ESF
3 - 1
COR
8%
14%
79%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AGD
2 - 2
ESF
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |