Ardziv vs Cassis-Carnoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
55.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
14º
12º
25
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
EUA
56%
21%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 1
IST
41%
23%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 1
EUA
68%
16%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 1
CAN
17%
25%
58%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RSV
5 - 2
EUA
69%
16%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
CAS
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
4 - 1
CAS
37%
26%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAL
61%
20%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
CAS
16%
18%
65%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -4 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 2
IST
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |