Ardziv vs Cassis-Carnoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
55.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
14º
12º
25
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
EUA
56%
21%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 1
IST
41%
23%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 1
EUA
68%
16%
16%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 1
CAN
17%
25%
58%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RSV
5 - 2
EUA
69%
16%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
CAS
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
4 - 1
CAS
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAL
61%
20%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
CAS
16%
18%
65%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -4 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 2
IST
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |