Ardziv vs Balagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
14º
12º
32
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
IST
1 - 1
EUA
65%
18%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
EUA
3 - 2
NIC
17%
19%
63%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 0
EUA
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
EUA
1 - 0
RSV
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
EUA
2 - 2
12%
16%
71%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Balagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
GAZ
16%
23%
61%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAS
16%
21%
64%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
IST
0 - 0
BAL
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
NIC
29%
22%
50%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |