Ardziv vs Balagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
14º
12º
32
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
IST
1 - 1
EUA
65%
18%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
EUA
3 - 2
NIC
17%
19%
63%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +3 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 0
EUA
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
EUA
1 - 0
RSV
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
EUA
2 - 2
12%
16%
71%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Balagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
GAZ
16%
23%
61%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAS
16%
21%
64%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
IST
0 - 0
BAL
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
NIC
29%
22%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |