Ardziv vs Cagnes-Le Cros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+600%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
9º
10º
27
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
COR
3 - 0
EUA
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
EUA
3 - 1
AGD
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ESF
3 - 3
EUA
26%
22%
53%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
EUA
1 - 0
MON
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 0
EUA
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cagnes-Le Cros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ASC
0 - 0
STC
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RSV
4 - 3
ASC
75%
14%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
COR
3 - 2
ASC
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 1
AGD
19%
20%
60%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ESF
1 - 0
ASC
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |