Engordany vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
46.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
7º
6º
27
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Engordany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 2
UEE
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UEE
2 - 0
SJU
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
UEE
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AME
3 - 0
UEE
40%
23%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
UEE
0 - 3
ATL
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
INT
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCO
3 - 2
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
UES
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FCO
2 - 0
PEN
34%
21%
46%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 4
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |