Engers 07 vs Auersmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
18º
10º
9
10º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
22 | 77 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 75 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 75 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 73 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 51 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 44 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 44 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 38 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 37 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 28 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 23 |
18º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 48.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Engers 07
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 5
KAI
19%
21%
61%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TUS
0 - 1
ENG
45%
25%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ENG
1 - 6
PIR
27%
24%
50%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ENG
3 - 1
COS
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ENG
3 - 3
VFB
78%
14%
9%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Auersmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
EIS
1 - 2
AUE
50%
20%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUE
0 - 5
KAI
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KOB
3 - 2
AUE
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 3
AUE
53%
20%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AUE
0 - 2
EIN
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |