Engers 07 vs Auersmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
18º
8º
15
10º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 79 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 79 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 72 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
15 | 29 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 89.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Engers 07
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 5
KAI
19%
21%
61%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TUS
0 - 1
ENG
45%
25%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ENG
1 - 6
PIR
27%
24%
50%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ENG
3 - 1
COS
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ENG
3 - 3
VFB
78%
14%
9%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Auersmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
EIS
1 - 2
AUE
50%
20%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUE
0 - 5
KAI
22%
21%
57%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KOB
3 - 2
AUE
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 3
AUE
53%
20%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AUE
0 - 2
EIN
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |