Engen Santos vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Engen Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
SAN
64%
23%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MTH
0 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
MTH
48%
24%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
MBO
36%
28%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 1
SAN
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 1
POL
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BLO
1 - 2
FRE
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
FRE
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 0
AJA
29%
27%
45%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 0
FRE
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |