Engen Santos vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
39.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Engen Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SUN
3 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
CHI
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
SSU
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FRE
4 - 1
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PLS
0 - 1
FRE
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 2
BLA
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
FRE
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GOL
2 - 0
FRE
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |