Energie Cottbus vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Energie Cottbus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
COT
0 - 1
STA
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
FSV
1 - 1
COT
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
SSV
2 - 1
COT
31%
26%
44%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
COT
3 - 0
LAS
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
COT
3 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ERF
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
STA
3 - 1
ERZ
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
ERZ
3 - 1
SSV
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
LAS
2 - 1
ERZ
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
ERZ
3 - 0
FSV
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |