Encamp vs Carroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
8º
6º
33
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 50 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 46 |
3º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 34 |
5º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 31 |
6º
|
99.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 12 |
9º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 12 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Encamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ENG
0 - 2
FCE
8%
12%
80%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 6
FCE
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
4 - 2
SCO
37%
23%
40%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AME
4 - 2
FCE
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
0 - 4
PAC
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Carroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 3
ESA
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LAM
2 - 2
CAR
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
FCR
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ENG
2 - 6
CAR
9%
16%
75%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 5
CAR
24%
22%
54%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |