Saint-Renan vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
70.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
NAN
0 - 0
NIO
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AUX
0 - 2
NAN
61%
24%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
NAN
1 - 1
CHA
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NAN
1 - 0
ANG
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
NAN
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |