Empoli vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
EMP
1 - 3
SPA
66%
17%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ACP
5 - 2
EMP
35%
23%
43%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
EMP
4 - 1
FOR
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 8 | 60 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
ACP
2 - 0
EMP
30%
23%
48%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
EMP
3 - 1
BEN
87%
9%
4%
|
69 | 8 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
USC
1 - 1
VIC
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
USC
0 - 1
UDI
35%
23%
41%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
PIS
0 - 1
USC
52%
21%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1942 |
USC
2 - 1
BRE
49%
24%
28%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
PAR
2 - 1
USC
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |