Empoli vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
TRI
2 - 0
EMP
33%
29%
39%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
EMP
1 - 1
MAN
59%
23%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
ASC
1 - 0
EMP
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
EMP
2 - 0
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
EMP
3 - 2
PIA
66%
22%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
AVE
4 - 3
MOD
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 1
AVE
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 1
SAL
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
AVE
72%
18%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 2
RIM
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |