Empoli vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 1
EMP
34%
30%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
EMP
1 - 1
TOR
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
EMP
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
EMP
3 - 1
ABN
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 0
EMP
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 0
PON
80%
13%
6%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ABN
2 - 2
PIA
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 0
ABN
42%
24%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIA
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PIA
1 - 3
ABN
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |