Empoli vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1986 |
FIO
3 - 0
EMP
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
ASC
0 - 0
EMP
69%
19%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 0
GEN
46%
31%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1986 |
EMP
3 - 2
FIO
17%
24%
59%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
TRI
1 - 0
EMP
52%
29%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1986 |
PRG
1 - 1
VIC
38%
32%
31%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PRG
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
PRG
1 - 1
GEN
43%
32%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
PES
2 - 1
PRG
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |